Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.167033 0.197075 0.230678 0.271010 0.318067 0.371196 0.435700
2025-09-07 0.123370 0.162271 0.210412 0.274205 0.356350 0.458395 0.594606
2025-09-14 0.097826 0.139569 0.195266 0.274676 0.384614 0.531030 0.740368
2025-09-21 0.079363 0.121158 0.180516 0.270420 0.402508 0.588708 0.870208
2025-09-28 0.066630 0.107924 0.169852 0.268702 0.421591 0.647905 1.006809
2025-10-05 0.060331 0.102969 0.170053 0.282180 0.463565 0.743725 1.206839
2025-10-12 0.055950 0.100152 0.172793 0.299379 0.512620 0.854815 1.441906
2025-10-19 0.050657 0.094852 0.170524 0.307664 0.547611 0.946647 1.655366
2025-10-26 0.044938 0.087845 0.164247 0.307971 0.568644 1.017016 1.839783
2025-11-02 0.038756 0.079001 0.153437 0.298605 0.571192 1.055513 1.972520
2025-11-09 0.032922 0.069901 0.140868 0.284195 0.562494 1.072653 2.068093
2025-11-16 0.029682 0.065439 0.136437 0.284510 0.580992 1.140231 2.261820
2025-11-23 0.025609 0.058864 0.127422 0.275564 0.582366 1.179478 2.413535
2025-11-30 0.023222 0.055550 0.124628 0.279008 0.609134 1.270952 2.678073
2025-12-07 0.020893 0.051964 0.120721 0.279505 0.629766 1.352365 2.931369
2025-12-14 0.018504 0.047828 0.114992 0.275179 0.639456 1.412320 3.146881
2025-12-21 0.016610 0.044553 0.110707 0.273432 0.654409 1.484582 3.395733
2025-12-28 0.015910 0.044135 0.112986 0.287137 0.705697 1.639934 3.840275
2026-01-04 0.015464 0.044295 0.116662 0.304626 0.767766 1.825274 4.370239
2026-01-11 0.014541 0.043031 0.116645 0.313051 0.809309 1.968711 4.820114
2026-01-18 0.013303 0.040694 0.113571 0.313363 0.831131 2.069009 5.180527
2026-01-25 0.011762 0.037225 0.107041 0.303840 0.827235 2.108348 5.400847
2026-02-01 0.010197 0.033406 0.099007 0.289187 0.808342 2.109465 5.528696